With the clock ticking down on Greece’s fate, European leaders gave the country until Thursday to come forward with a new bailout proposal and said they would meet again Sunday to decide its fate.
“The stark reality is that we have only five days left to find the ultimate agreement,” Donald Tusk, president of the European Council, said Tuesday after an emergency meeting of nations that use the euro.
Earlier, German Chancellor Angela Merkel underlined the point that time was running out.
“It’s not a matter of weeks, we have only a few days,” Merkel told reporters.
President Obama and Merkel spoke by phone earlier in the day, and agreed it was “in everyone’s interest to reach a durable agreement that will allow Greece to resume reforms, return to growth, and achieve debt sustainability within the eurozone,” according to the White House.
Greece needs cash — fast. Its banks have been shut for a week, and cash withdrawals have been capped. It has pension payments to make.
Greeks voted overwhelmingly to reject Europe’s most recent offer of help in a referendum on Sunday. Europe had been pushing Greece for more spending cuts and tax increases. Greeks want a new bailout deal to include easier terms and the cancellation of some of their debt.
But Tuesday’s series of meetings got off to a bad start when new Greek Finance Minister Euclid Tsakolotos turned up without a written proposal, saying only that it would be delivered by Wednesday.
“And that is the big problem… there’s no trust anymore between the finance ministers in the Eurogroup and the Greek government,” Malta’s finance minister Edward Scicluna told CNN.
Assuming formal negotiations can begin, it’s far from clear that the two sides will be able to agree terms for a bailout, which would be Greece’s third since 2010.
Other countries using the euro have already stumped up billions in emergency loans for Greece over the past five years, and they worry about throwing good money after bad.
Finance ministers from Finland and Slovakia made clear that canceling more Greek debt — following a similar exercise in 2012 — was unacceptable.
“Debt relief is the most delicate issues for the majority of countries,” said Slovak finance minister Peter Kazimir. “For my country, it’s a red line.”
Both sides say they want the same thing — to stop Greece becoming the first country to crash out of the 16-year old currency.
At the very least, Greece needs a strong statement from Europe that there’s a chance of a deal. Otherwise, the European Central Bank will keep a lid on funding for Greek banks, and events will spiral out of control.
The banks would remain shut. The peak tourist season would be at risk. Officials may have little choice but to start printing IOUs to pay public sector wages and pensions, perhaps as early as next week. The dreaded “Grexit” scenario of Greece dumping the euro and printing drachma would loom large.
“While this scenario would not immediately mean Grexit… Athens would clearly be on a trajectory towards leaving the eurozone,” noted analysts at Teneo Intelligence.